Category Archives: Commentary

Defunding Astronomy in the UK

The Role of Money in Astronomy

So, all this astronomy I write about costs money to do. That isn’t a surprise to anybody, I hope. Everything in life has some cost to it, whether in money, karma, time, personal involvement, or ethical reward. While it is true that you can walk outside, look up, and do astronomy at the very basic level, to do anything beyond that requires equipment and person-hours. And those cost money.Amateur astronomy equipment can cost as little as the price of a book of star maps and a pair of 10×50 binoculars or run to many thousands of dollars or Euros or whatever units of money you use for a top-of-the-line home observatory. I always tell people to start small and let the love of astronomy guide them to whatever seems appropriate to spend.Professional astronomy is a whole different ball game. No one person “owns” a big observatory like Yerkes or Anglo-Australian or Mt. Wilson or Gemini or Hubble Space Telescope or the Very Large Array. They’re operated by consortiums of institutions based in a number of countries. It’s about the only way that the enormous costs of running state-of-the-art astrophysical research facilities can be afforded. And the costs can be … well… astronomical, running into multiple millions of dollars/Euros/etc. each year. The consortiums (and their countries) help pay the bills, and in return, each member of the consortium gets time on the instrument(s).

Recently the Gemini partnership was shaken when the United Kingdom announced it was pulling out to save money. I don’t know all the politics that led to this decision, but it took UK astronomers by surprise. The result of that pullout would have denied UK astronomers access to a major Northern Hemisphere observatory, starting nearly immediately.

It made little sense, but in times of tightening budgets, I suppose that the science and technology committee in the UK that made this decision didn’t see astronomy as being as important as other physics expenditures it wanted to make, or perhaps much less important than life sciences, for example. Nonetheless, it was a surprise to the partnership and a shock to the world’s astronomy community.

Today the Royal Astronomical Society announced that the UK is in “constructive discussions” to continue UK involvement in the Gemini Partnership. President of the RAS, Dr. Michael Rowan-Robinson commented, “The UK has invested about 35 million pounds in the capital phase of the Gemini Observatories, in which we have a 23% stake. To pull out precipitately, as seemed to be happening, would have written this off to make a saving of 4 million pounds a year, at the expense of inflicting great damage to the UK’s international reputation.”

That is a lot of money to invest, and UK astronomers had every right to feel betrayed by their government’s actions in the attempted pullout. Astronomy IS worth the money and the effort, and I suspect that UK scientists will need to make sure their collective voice is heard the next time somebody suggests “cost-saving” measures such as this one.

Asteroid 2007 TU24

It’s Not the Impact You Think It Is

You may have heard (or seen in the news) about an asteroid that’s due to pass close to Earth on January 29 (next Tuesday). It’s called 2007 TU24, it’s about the size of the Sears Tower in Chicago, and it will flash past at a distance of about 537,000 kilometers. To put it in perspective, the Moon lies 383,180 kilometers away, so this thing isn’t getting as close to us as the Moon is.

This is a rare chance for astronomers to image a near-Earth asteroid and use instruments such as the Arecibo radio telescope to accurately measure its size, spin rate, and orbital speed.

Stuff like this passes near our planet rather frequently; after all, space is full of debris left over from the formation of the solar system, and not all of it has been swept up by planets, moons, and ring systems. That’s the beauty of having an evolving planetary system. Now that we have good instrumentation, we can study these pieces of debris and learn a variety of things: what they’re made of; and from their orbital measurements, we can figure out the larger picture of orbital dynamics. And, of course, we can learn more about how to spot these things and determine if (and very, very rarely when) they might pose a threat to the planet.

Now, there are a few whack jobs out there who are using this upcoming event to draw attention to themselves by making outrageous claims. It’s the usual huffing and puffing and uninformed bloviating about how NASA is hiding evidence that the rock is actually going to HIT Earth, yadda, yadda, yadda. And I have to wonder just how much physics these folks ever studied, or passed? And what part of “it’s farther away from us than the Moon is” didn’t they get?

I’ve calculated a few orbits in my time (and by the way, doing a general orbit calculation isn’t rocket science—kids in high-school math and physics probably cut their teeth on these things in middle school these days) and I’m here to tell you it’s not difficult. And what you learn tells you pretty quickly just how much chance there is an impact vs. a flyby.

Here’s how it works. You observe an object and plot its position. Then you do it again. And again. Pretty soon you have a line that, after you’ve got enough positions, allows you to plot the entire orbit pretty quickly. Once you do that, you can see where the object is going to be as it moves along in its orbit.

You can understand roughly how this works by watching cars on a road. After a while, assuming that the cars are going the same direction, not turning off on other roads, and they’re not whacking into each other, you will be able to “predict” that a car going a given speed down the road will be at Point B at a certain time, then Point C, and so on.

Now, the people at JPL whose job it is to calculate orbits have done a very refined job of plotting the orbit of 2007 TU24. And guess what? It’s not going to hit us. Physics and orbital mechanics tell us this.

There’s no hidden agenda. NASA isn’t hiding anything. It’s all in the physics and orbital mechanics. Even if NASA tried to suppress knowledge, the amateur astronomy community can often see these things and those folks can calculate orbits, too. It takes no esoteric knowledge, just the ability to apply the laws of orbital motion. And actually, if you can get hold of orbital elements (and they ARE freely available) YOU can plot an orbit. And you’ll see that the thing is going to miss Earth by a long shot.

So, let’s apply a little common sense here and use some science to understand these things. If somebody wants to believe hyperbole and self-serving claims of cover-ups and other malarkey, let’s be clear that it’s really about delusions of grandeur among those who are too lazy to do the math. And that’s fine (although silly). People can think or believe what they wish. But, wishing doesn’t make it so.

Uninformed ravings about coverups and plots and so on simply prove that the only impact we’ll see on Tuesday is that of lazy thinking. Perhaps we can use that kind of impact as a lever for more effective science education in our schools and less foolishness.

For more information on this event and the orbital calculations, check out the Near-Earth Object Program page at NASA.